Ukraine's Arms Monitor

Ukraine's Arms Monitor

Share this post

Ukraine's Arms Monitor
Ukraine's Arms Monitor
Drone warfare in Ukraine: laser tech and Ukraine's new long-range drone
Drone Warfare in Ukraine

Drone warfare in Ukraine: laser tech and Ukraine's new long-range drone

Three key stories of the week: July 02 - 08, 2025.

Olena Kryzhanivska's avatar
Olena Kryzhanivska
Jul 09, 2025
∙ Paid
36

Share this post

Ukraine's Arms Monitor
Ukraine's Arms Monitor
Drone warfare in Ukraine: laser tech and Ukraine's new long-range drone
8
Share
 Photo for illustrative purposes. Courtesy of Khartiia Brigade of the National Guard of Ukraine

Russia’s Shaheds are a symbol of the new “axis of evil,” according to The Times. Designed in Iran, equipped with components from China, and manufactured in Russia using North Korean labor, this kamikaze drone highlights that the U.S. cannot isolate itself from the growing cooperation among authoritarian regimes and the threats arising from it. Meanwhile, Ukraine—with its 500 drone producers—is striving for full localization of production, developing such a wide variety of unmanned systems that it becomes very difficult for the enemy to quickly adapt on the battlefield or apply effective countermeasures.

Talking about laser technologies and the new star of the show, the FP-1 long-range drone, in this digest.

Thank you for reading and supporting my work!


A First Point View: Examining Ukraine’s Drone Industry (Mariam Halstian for Georgetown Security Studies Review)

This report was published in May 2025. I provide a concise summary of the key points:

  • Ukraine’s drone industry has seen a remarkable increase in the range and volume of domestically produced autonomous systems.

  • At the onset of Russia’s full-scale invasion, Ukraine relied on Chinese-manufactured drones. Today, Ukraine produces aerial and naval drones, including First Person View (FPV), bomber, interceptor, kamikaze, reconnaissance, and long-range deep-strike drones. Personally, I would also include unmanned ground vehicles (ground drones) in this list. Read more about these drones here.

  • Monthly FPV drone production capacity rose from 20,000 in 2024 to 200,000 in 2025, due to rising investments, improved supply chains, more efficient manufacturing.

    Image credits: information from the following sources: Slovo i Dilo, Defense Express, Suspilne Media, collected and analyzed by Mariam Halstian for the original report.
  • As of 2025, around 500 drone manufacturers operate in Ukraine, compared to just seven before the full-scale invasion.

  • Ukraine has made progress toward component localization:

    • Example: Vyriy sources 70% of its components domestically

  • The government incentivizes component localization:

    • Manufacturers producing over 50% of components domestically can secure long-term government contracts

  • Drone success rates vary:

    • Wired reports: success rates rose from 30% in 2022 to 70% in 2024 for high-quality Ukrainian drones

    • RUSI reports: 60–80% of FPV drones fail to reach targets, especially against armored vehicles

    • Still, short-range tactical drones account for 60–70% of Russian equipment losses

  • In 2024, the Armed Forces:

    • Conducted 130 long-range operations

    • Hit 377 targets in Russia, including bases, depots, defense facilities, oil refineries, and energy infrastructure

  • Commander-in-Chief Syrsky reported a 22% increase in targeting success in February 2025 compared to the previous month—largely due to FPV and bomber drones

  • Quantity has a quality of its own: Valery Borovyk (Bily Orel unit) attributed rising success rates more to quantity than precision

    The industry must pursue both quality and quantity in drone production

  • As every innovation is met with countermeasures, manufacturers must continuously invest in technical upgrades

  • Ukrainian officials promote the development of new models, including fiber-optic drones; AI-guided drones more resistant to electronic warfare (EW)

  • Until such technologies scale, the quantity remains critical to offset Russian mass

  • In July 2022, Ukraine launched the Army of Drones strategy. Followed by Brave1, a government initiative supporting defense tech startups:

    • Since 2023, Brave1:

      • Issued over $8 million in grants

      • Supported 1,500 companies

      • Involved in 3,500 products

      • Provides state funding for R&D and product development

  • Ukraine now aims to become a Silicon Valley of defense technology, attracting international developers; innovators, and investors

  • A challenge: surplus supply vs. limited purchasing capacity

    • Despite grassroots and government procurement, production exceeds current demand

  • The government is now considering opening the arms export market

  • R&D and IP development lag behind grassroots innovation:

    • Ukraine filed a few drone-related patents between 2022 and 2023

    • Globally, such patents rose by 16%, from 16,800 (2022) to 19,700 (2023)

    As Defense Express reports, this data refers to the years 2022–2023, when Ukraine's drone industry was still in its early stages of development. While patent activity is not always the most accurate indicator for a country at war, experts emphasize that protecting intellectual property remains an important step for the future of the sector

  • Despite increased government funding, the industry still relies on foreign investment. The 2025 defense budget covers only half of the drones offered by local manufacturers

  • Key structural challenges include: weak contracting mechanisms; lack of standardized benchmarks; insufficient long-term investment in R&D and advanced technologies

  • The government must build on innovation potential and manufacturing scale

  • Recommendations:

    • Improve procurement processes

    • Establish robust standards

    • Prioritize R&D and IP investment

    • Extend government contracts from one year to two or three years to support manufacturers' planning

  • Ukraine must balance:

    • Mass-producing affordable FPV drones

    • Investing in next-gen technologies, including:

      • Fiber-optic systems

      • AI-guided drones

      • Drone swarms

  • Continued support from Western partners is essential, especially:

    • EU and NATO allies

    • Cooperation opportunities include:

      • EU’s European Defence Fund (joint ventures and contracts)

      • NATO’s DIANA (Defence Innovation Accelerator for the North Atlantic)

For the context, recently it was reported, that the Ministry of Defence of Ukraine is guiding weapons manufacturers toward unified standards in unmanned systems production: “Currently, the arsenal of the Armed Forces of Ukraine includes dozens of FPV systems with similar tactical and technical specifications but differing in their platforms, combat payloads, software, and components sourced from various manufacturers. It is, therefore, essential to pursue the unification and standardization of specific categories of weapon systems to significantly enhance their operational effectiveness and simplify maintenance”.

Share


Laser Tech: The Ukrainian Armed Forces Now Have a Drone with Laser Target Designation

The Ukrainian unmanned aerial vehicle R-34T, developed by FRDM Group, has been officially approved for use by units of the Ukrainian Defense Forces. Its primary function is laser target designation for the precision engagement of targets using guided munitions, including artillery and aviation munitions.

This post is for paid subscribers

Already a paid subscriber? Sign in
© 2025 Olena Kryzhanivska
Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start writingGet the app
Substack is the home for great culture

Share